Tag Archives: Clinton

Featured

Alfred E Smith dinner was a Presidential roast

This was a refreshing change from the increasingly dark and mean presidential campaign.  John McCain and Barack Obama managed to sit down together at the 63rd annual Alfred E. Smith foundation dinner.  It’s become somewhat of a tradition for the presidential contenders to appear at this white-tie event to raise money for the charitable foundation, and actually seems to lighten the mood.

The candidates basically roast each other, and spare no expense mocking themselves either.  You can check out all the videos below.

Quite honestly, I think that McCain was a better tonight, but Obama definitely scored some big points with a few of his jokes.  Both quickly addressed the ‘That one’ comment from the debate (Obama explains that his name is actually swahili for ‘that one’.  McCain says it’s a nickname, and Obama’s nickname for him was ‘George Bush’).  Perhaps my favourite moment from Obama’s side was his mockery at his own perceived arrogance.  When asked for his greatest strength, he said his humility, and for his greateset weakness he said he was a little too awesome.  Also, keep an eye out for the middle name jokes and Obama’s wicked jab at Giuliani.   I’ll stop spoiling things now, and let you enjoy it.

McCain’s Speeches
Part1

Part 2

Obama
Part1

Part 2

Politics

The Clinton Divorce

A few weeks ago, the Wall Street Journal ran a pretty interesting article about what they call the “Clinton divorce”. This will be what they see as the inevitable split with the party if Clinton is denied the nomination.

Already we saw fractures appear in the way the party was dealing with the issue of who the candidate should be. When Bill Richardson came out in support of Obama, for example, Bill Clinton was practically frothing at the mouth while he raged about what a traitor Richardson was.

This piece is not exactly unbiased, but is still a fascinating look at the situation, especially as it was written back on May 9th.

Slowly but surely, these Prisoners of Bill and Hill are now walking away, urging Mrs. Clinton to leave the race. Chuck Schumer damns her with faint support by saying any decision is up to her. Columnists from the New York Times, which endorsed her when she looked inevitable, now demand that she exit so as not to help John McCain. With Mr. Obama to ride, they no longer need the Arkansas interlopers.

If the Clintons play to their historic form, they will ignore all this for as long as they can. They will fight on, hoping that something else turns up about Mr. Obama before the convention. Or they’ll try to play the Michigan and Florida cards. Or they’ll unleash Harold Ickes on the superdelegates and suggest that if Mr. Obama loses in November she’ll be back in 2012 and her revenge will be, well, Clintonian.”

I just hope fear of revenge won’t affect voting choices from the superdelegates. Whoever they do choose should be chosen based on their chances of success, not because they are the most vicious in retribution.

Politics

The Nightmare Ticket

The Onion, in a stroke of genius, has run an article lampooning the hundreds of times we hear about possible VP nominations for each party.  Especially on the Democratic side.

Ever since we heard that Obama’s nearly got the show wrapped up, we’ve been hearing demands from the Clinton camp that she be made VP as a “consolation prize”.  Others have been saying that Obama and Clinton should want to get together to form the “Dream Ticket”.

Well, my friends, I give you the Nightmare Ticket.

According to the Onion (yes, it’s fake news, for those who don’t know) McCain, Clinton, and Obama would run together.

“”No other ticket is capable of rallying this nation around a clearer, more unified message of chaos and hopelessness,” the candidates said in unison from three separate podiums, each adorned with its own American flag arrangement and personal message. “Together, we will lead this nation into the future—a future where absolute deadlock over even the most minute decisions and total inefficiency on matters of the war, the economy, and the environment will launch a bold new age of confusion and social decay. For America, the only choice is [indecipherable]!”

Hilarious.

They also make jokes about how they’d split up the office into President, Vice President and also a “Middle President”.  Sounds funny, but it’s probably pretty accurate about what would happen if Obama did pick Clinton.  I think Bill would be heading for that “Middle President” role.

Politics

Obama’s ideal VP choice

Real Clear Politics, a site I honestly am not so familiar with has put up a startling poignant article about just who should be chosen to be Obama’s VP running mate.  Obviously this is assuming Obama wins the nomination, but realistically he probably will.

Despite Clinton’s…reluctance to concede the nomination, Obama recently took the lead in nearly absolute terms.  Above and beyond his lead in pledged delegates he has recently had some of Clinton’s superdelegates defect to his side, giving him the lead overall.

Now all the political pundits are saying that Clinton is going all out to at least receive the VP nod.  RCP ‘s Gerald Pomper (who is also Professor Emeritus of Political Science at Rutgers)  makes the claim that Clinton would not actually be that useful to Obama.  Rightly so, Pomper notes that Clinon’s strength with women voters isn’t that important.  Women have often overwhelmingly supported the democratic nominee, so it is not likely that their votes would be lost without Clinton present.  However, Clinton’s big strength to Obama is with blue collar workers and hispanic voters.

So, Pomper goes so far as to say that Sen. Jim Webb, the junor senator from Virginia.  He is, in essence, the Republican’s worst enemy.  Obama’s eloquence and strength with intellectuals and white collar voters is important.  His mere presence is inspiring.  Webb, on the other hand, brings a lot of experience to the table.  Webb is a Vietnam vet who was actually wounded in battle (thus avoiding the Swift Boating that toppled Kerry) and was actually the Secretary of the Navy at one point.  This rather extensive foreign policy/military experience would be a huge advantage to Obama.  The biggest criticism people make of him is his general lack of experience.  Having a war veteran and slightly more experienced legislator on your side can’t hurt.

Pomper makes this argument:

Webb also would bring specific political advantages to the Democratic ticket. His rural roots, vigorous language and championing of working class values would compensate for Obama’s evident weaknesses among these voters. Webb provides a populist platform on corporate regulation, trade, taxation and health care that would further extend the party’s appeal to its lower-income base. Born in Missouri, educated in Nebraska, California and the Naval Academy in Maryland, he encapsulates a national electoral appeal. Finally, to the limited extent that state residence matters, he would help to switch Virginia into the Democratic column for the first election since 1964.

All-in-all it’s a pretty convincing argument.  Not that we have anything against Hillary, but I think that we shouldn’t be blinded by the progressive message a Obama-Clinton ticket would send.  They are both extremely capable, but it’s important to remember that there may be other things to consider when making a VP choice.   If Obama wins the nomination, he should be focusing on what would beat McCain in the fall, and not fear the fallout of snubbing Clinton.

Politics

Dems split primaries

In the next installment of the never-ending-story between Obama and Clinton, they each managed to pick up the “must win” states to keep both campaigns alive.

However, the news is a little more than what it seems.  Obama’s win in North Carolina was convincing, winning the state by something like 14% according to the BBC.  Clinton, on the other hand, only edged out Obama in Indiana by 2%.  This suggests that Obama is still doing well and is inching closer to clinching the nomination.

The delegate count is now even harder for Clinton to overcome, with Obama sitting at 1,840 and Clinton at 1,684.  This means that Obama is only 200 delegates away from the nomination.

The voters in these states still split along racial lines, though more so in the black vote than the white.  Obama got 91 and 92 percent of the black vote in Indiana and North Carolina respectively, while getting 40 percent and 36 percent of the white vote in those states.  Although this is far from conclusive in any way, it does suggest that Clinton is finding it harder to make inroads with black voters than Obama is with white.

Also, despite the fact that the Reverend Wright controversy refuses to die, it doesn’t seem to really be holding Obama back.   Voters say they’re even split between caring about Wright and not, with half saying it was important to their decision.

The most shocking event was the immediate defection of former Senator George McGovern.  He ran for the democratic party nomination many years ago and knows the business pretty well.  Up until now he has supported Clinton, but just after these primaries he publicly switched his support to Obama.  The Guradian is now reporting that this may open the floodgates of defections from the Clinton camp.  Although this same prediction comes out over and over again, this may be the death knell for Clinton.  Since mathematically it’s actually impossible for her to win without overturning the popular vote and stealing the superdelegates, it seems as if people would be quite upset with her for continuing to run.  But continue she does.  She just lent her campaign another $6.4 million to continue fighting on.  But the more impossible this race becomes, the less likely people are to donate.

It almost seems hopeless.  And although I’m sure both are capable of leading the nation, I think that the longer the in-fighting continues, the worse either of their chances are against McCain.

Cool Politics

Clinton, Edwards AND Obama all on Colbert Report

I kid you not. All three of these Democrat politicians made their appearance on the Colbert Report on April 17.

It’s no secret that Colbert has been actively courting to try and get Obama to appear on the program, even asking his wife Michelle on air if she would help.  He finally got his wish (kind of).  Following the Democrat debate in Philadelphia (arguably one of the worst run debates in television history), the candidates were already in town so Colbert took advantage.

The first appearance was by Hillary Clinton.  The scene was that Colbert’s background screen was on the fritz, and all of the technicians were missing.  So he stood up and asked:

“Are you telling me there is no one in this theater who can fix the mess we’re in?” Colbert cried out.

“I can,” Clinton said as she strolled onstage

An interesting and pretty amusing little scenario, with Clinton seeming pretty comfortable.  It wasn’t as self-deprecating as I was hoping, but at least she managed to poke a little fun at herself.  She told Colbert he could call her anytime, even at 3 am.

Next up is John Edwards.  He delivered exactly what I was hoping for.  A pretty comic spin at his own fallacies and the democratic race as a whole.  He made light of the fact that both campaigns were actively seeking his endorsement, and jokingly said that he’d need at least 2 jetskis for his vote, among other things.  The only video I could find of the the show was of Edwards’ guest appearance delivering The Word (or as he called it, the EdWords). Check it out below.

Lastly, Barack Obama made his appearance via video conference from another rally he was at.  He was in pretty good spirits overall, and managed to make a solid point about the manufactured political distractions that he had spoken of at the previous nights debate.  He even went so far to, Colbert style, put these distractions on notice.

Below is the transcript:

Obama: “Stephen, these distractions they won’t help us fix our economy, they won’t help get people health care. They won’t get us out of Iraq. Stephen, I would go so far as to say I want to put these political distractions on notice.”

Colbert: “What!?”

Obama: “Boys, bring out the on notice board.”

Colbert. “Senator, I have to warn you, I probably don’t have a card for distractions.”

Colbert sifted through a card-box, saying, “Let me I see, I’ve got Dionne Warwick, Deion Sanders, Dion comma Celine, Dirigibiles, There we go! Distractions!

“Okay senator, uh, something’s gonna have to come off, what should I remove?”

Obama: “Well it can’t be grizzly bears, they are the number one threat to America.”

Colbert: “Good man.”

Obama: “I think we should take off James Brady, he’s a good guy.”

Colbert: “All right, Brady. This is your lucky day.  Okay here we go.  Distractions, I hope you’re paying attention….Wham! How’s that taste?”

Obama: “Manufactured, manufactured political distractions, you are officially on notice.”

Those of you in the US may be able to check out clips from the show on the Colbert Report page.

Music Politics

Comparing Presidential Music

According to his Facebook fan page, Barack Obama is a fan of legendary ’90s super-group The Fugees! If you were wavering before (and are a 4080reader), this alone should clinch it for you. Even ten years ago it would have been political suicide for a presidential candidate to publically reveal he or she listened to hip-hop, let alone consider a rap group among his/her favourite musicians (can you imagine Bill Clinton revealing he was a fan of, say, Public Enemey in 1991?). Also on Obama’s list are Miles Davis, John Coltrane, Bob Dylan, Stevie Wonder and Johan Sebastian Bach. Our boy has an impressive, if not eclectic, taste in music.

On Hillary Clinton’s list? Carly Simon, Aretha Franklin, the Rolling Stones and U2. Not bad, although I’d give the edge to Obama so far.

How about McCain? Nothing! He lists his favourite movies (“Viva Zapata,” “Letters From Iwo Jima” and “Some Like It Hot” (seriously?)), books (“For Whom The Bell Tolls”) and tv shows (“24” and “Seinfeld”), but a list of favourite music is strangely missing. Does the Republican nominee not listen to music? Or perhaps his taste is so strange his handlers are afraid to reveal it to Facebookers? Interesting.

Finally, how about Dennis Kucinich, that plucky underdog who, for the longest time, refused to quit the race? Dude is a fan of Michael Franti and Spearhead! Sold!

Politics

Democrats vs. Democrats

I bet nearly all of you are aware of the death-match that the two Democratic presidential contenders are caught up in.

It’s amazing how bad things have gotten over the last little while. As the race picked up and more and more of the rest of the field began dropping out, things really came to a head in South Carolina. That seems to be the point where the racial baggage caught up to the campaigns and things really started to go sour.

From then on, voters were faced with an increasingly vitrolic campaign. One side accusing the other of the stupidest little transgressions. Both of them…exaggerating their accomplishments at times. Most notably, you all probably remember Clinton going on the offensive several times, accusing Obama of plagarism, or of lying in his mailings, exaggerating his role as the University of Chicago (he didn’t.) and then came the whole Reverend Wright scandal. On the other hand, Obama’s been pushing back, calling Clinton out about her “mispeak” regarding her trip to Bosnia.

All of those are stories in and of themselves, but the latest news seems to be gripping the political community tightly. Recently, increasing amounts of people seem to be calling for Hillary to drop out due to the fact that she stands very little chance of beating Obama in terms of pledged delegates. The Democratic Party’s superdelegates are all that stand between Obama and the nomination. These superdelegates are not encumbered with the results of the primaries, and can actually vote however they want. They consist of very important people from all over the US. Governors, party bigwigs, that sort of thing.

Nancy Pelosi, the current speaker of the House, decided it was wise to voice her opinion on the whole matter. She came out and stated that superdelegates should respect the popular vote, and cast their votes accordingly. That way, if Clinton has more primary votes, the superdelegates should respect it and vote for her. The thing is, it’s pretty much impossible for Hillary to catch up in terms of the popular vote, especially if the Florida and Michigan delegates are not seated. Since the race is so tight between Obama and Clinton, there’s no way one of them will get enough pledged delegates to actually win. That’s why the superdelegates are just so damn important.

Clinton was obviously mad. Since she probably won’t get enough regular delegates, having someone ask the superdelegates to not vote as they want and instead follow the pledged delegates, is tantamount to endorsing Obama. So her backers, some of the most influential names in the Democratic Party (and especially some of the biggest financial backers) decided it was a good idea to ‘warn’ Pelosi.

20 of them sent Pelosi a letter implicitly threatening to withhold their financial backing from the Party. These 20 people had given $24 million to the party in the last year.

“We have been strong supporters of the DCCC,” the group wrote in its letter to Pelosi. “We therefore urge you to clarify your position on super-delegates and reflect in your comments a more open view to the optional independent actions of each of the delegates at the National Convention in August.”

This is just god-awful reasoning and a terrible publicity move. The most damaging thing possible would be for the superdelegates to overturn the popular vote because it suggest to the American voters that their vote does not matter. If my vote was overturned so that unaccountable “superdelegates” chose whoever they wanted, I probably wouldn’t vote for them in the general election.

This implied threat has already caused a pretty big backlash in the Democratic party. Obama supporters are up in arms, and the reputably influential blog MoveOn.org has come straight out out and essentially declared war against the Clinton backers. In their response letter, sent out to MoveOn supporters, CNN says this about what they had to say:

“It’s the worst kind of insider politics — billionaires bullying our elected leaders into ignoring the will of the voters,” wrote organizers in an e-mail to the group’s members. “But when we all pool our resources, together we’re stronger than the fat cats. So let’s tell Nancy Pelosi that if she keeps standing up for regular Americans, thousands of us will have her back. And we can more than match whatever the CEOs and billionaires refuse to contribute.”

Unreal. No one wins in a situation like this, besides John McCain. So hopefully they can sort this out. In truth, superdelegates seem like a pretty bad idea. The whole point of the primary is to let the rank-and-file of a party pick their candidate. To go through this whole process and then completely ignore it is a slap in the face. I’m sure Clinton’s backers approach this with the best of intentions, but they must realize that this can only hurt Clinton’s chances, and/or the chances of the eventual nominee.

Music Politics

DMX is an idiot

XXL Magazine has run an interview with good old DMX that paints him in a less than stellar light, at least from a political perspective.

Seriously, I’ve never been a big fan of anything DMX stands for, or really any of his work besides some of his short lived acting stints in various bad action movies.

Are you following the presidential race?
Not at all.

You’re not? You know there’s a Black guy running, Barack Obama and then there’s Hillary Clinton.
His name is Barack?!

Barack Obama, yeah.
Barack?!

Barack.
What the fuck is a Barack?! Barack Obama. Where he from, Africa?

Yeah, his dad is from Kenya.
Barack Obama?

Yeah.
What the fuck?! That ain’t no fuckin’ name, yo. That ain’t that nigga’s name. You can’t be serious. Barack Obama. Get the fuck outta here.

You’re telling me you haven’t heard about him before.
I ain’t really paying much attention.

I mean, it’s pretty big if a Black…
Wow, Barack! The nigga’s name is Barack. Barack? Nigga named Barack Obama. What the fuck, man?! Is he serious? That ain’t his fuckin’ name. Ima tell this nigga when I see him, “Stop that bullshit. Stop that bullshit” [laughs] “That ain’t your fuckin’ name.” Your momma ain’t name you no damn Barack.

So you’re not following the race. You can’t vote right?
Nope.

Is that why you’re not following it?
No, because it’s just—it doesn’t matter. They’re gonna do what they’re gonna do. It doesn’t really make a difference. These are the last years.

But it would be pretty big if we had a first Black president. That would be huge.
I mean, I guess…. What, they gon’ give a dog a bone? There you go. Ooh, we have a Black president now. They should’ve done that shit a long time ago, we wouldn’t be in the fuckin’ position we in now. With world war coming up right now. They done fucked this shit up then give it to the Black people, “Here you take it. Take my mess.”

Right, exactly.
It’s all a fuckin’ setup. It’s all a setup. All fuckin’ bullshit. All bullshit. I don’t give a fuck about none of that.

We could have a female president also, Hillary Clinton.
I mean, either way it doesn’t matter. I don’t care. No one person is directly affected by which president, you know, so what does it matter.

Yeah, but the country is.
I guess. The president is a puppet anyway. The president don’t make no damn decisions.

The president…they don’t have that much authority basically?
Nah, never.

But Bush pretty much…
You think Bush is making fuckin’ decisions?

He did, yeah, he fucked up the country.
He act like he making decisions. He could barely speak! He could barely fuckin’ speak!
Can’t be serious. He ain’t making no damn decisions.

Well Barack has a good chance of winning so that might be something.
Good for him, good for him.

Seriously, I quickly lose patience for people with such a pessimistic view of things. It’s just so…boring. And how eloquent that DMX can ramble on for minutes about how he can’t believe his name is Barack.

Plus, I can’t really even understand half the stuff he’s been saying. Even the most uneducated or uninformed person in the US has some semblance of understanding of the election. You can’t walk 10 feet without seeing Barack’s face on something or hearing his name being broadcast, even if you’re a somewhat celebrity like DMX.

So yes, I think it’s safe to say that Mr. Rough Rider himself is a doofus.

Politics

Do endorsements really matter?

Endorsements in the Presidential Primaries

or How the Kennedys are their own primary

These days you can’t throw a harpoon without hitting a story about how someone is endorsing one or the other of the presidential candidates. Everyone seems to be getting in on this deal. Starting way back when people were guffawing about how good old Chuck Norris endorsed Mike Huckabee, and witnessed a barrage of endorsements from every direction. Stallone endorsed the Huckster’s rival, John McCain. Hulk Hogan has recently chimed in support of Obama too. Before you knew it, everyone wanted to get in on this: from Oprah stumping for Barack Obama, to all kinds of ridiculous celebrities chiming in. I can’t see how it’d make that much of a difference, because I don’t think many people want to take their political advice from someone who kicks people in the face for a living. But then again, I could be wrong, since Norris seems to have given Huckabee the bump to win in Iowa.

Still, how much can an endorsement really matter, if it’s not from a political celebrity? Oprah does have the reach, with her millions-of-suburban-women audience, which could really help Obama. Clinton was polling strongly among women, so anything that takes some of that away can’t hurt. But then again, what about backlash? The fact that the woman-powered Oprah didn’t endorse the first female presidential candidate has definitely upset some people, and may result in some serious determination among the Clintonites.

This isn’t to say that celebrities don’t have a storied history in politics. Regan was a film star, after all. And he’s had more press during this election than half the other candidates (despite the fact that he’s not running, or alive.) I mean, let’s face it. Besides the occasional joke about Kucinich, and the internet’s fixation with Ron Paul, if you weren’t one of the top 4 Republican candidates, or Top 3 democrats, you pretty much didn’t count. People were invoking Regan’s name left and right (pun intended). And let’s not forget good old Arnold in California. Another film star-turned-politician who has enjoyed enormous popularity.

But if you aren’t one of these people, why would your endorsement matter? If you remember from the 2004 election, Bruce Springsteen wasn’t enough to save John Kerry‘s campaign. So why all the fuss?

Okay, so for a second let’s ignore the movie and music celebs. What about respected authors and nobel laureates? Will they swing the vote? We can ask the Democrats. Toni Morrison, a nobel prize winner, has come out and endorsed Obama. Maya Angelou, on the other hand, went ahead and endorsed Hillary Clinton. You would think that this has to have some effect on some segment of American society. But the effect has yet to be felt. The Salon article linked above provides a pretty interest take on the situation.

The two writers do match their chosen candidates, then. Angelou, with a well-known and colorful life story featuring odds overcome and the triumph of the human spirit, has been embraced as an icon of middlebrow empowerment. With her, you know exactly what you’re getting because you’ve gotten it so many times before, and yet you can congratulate yourself for (mildly) bucking the system. Electing Clinton would make history, but it also promises to bring a familiar presence back to the White House.

Like Obama, with his Harvard degree and pristine, international sleekness, [Morrison] seems too good and too smart for us, the sort of American appreciated by foreigners with obscurely discriminating standards. The electorate famously prefers guys they can imagine dropping by for a barbecue over intimidating intellectuals, but that insecurity has been biting us in the ass for the past eight years.

Step right up and claim your Kennedy. We’ve got plenty to go around.

I think the best part of the election so far has to be the Kennedys. In terms of the Democratic Party, they’re pretty much the royal family. It’s hard to find a family with more clout with the party and it’s members. Maybe it’s because so many of them are so involved in politics, but their endorsements may really have the chance to swing the Democratic primary for Obama or Clinton.

It seems like they have divided pretty evenly into two camps. But the way it has broken down is fascinating, full of seemingly innocent moves and hidden motivations. On the one side, in the Obama camp, we have Sen. Ted Kennedy, currently the second longest serving US Senator, his son Patrick (A US Congressman), and his niece Caroline. If her name doesn’t sound familiar, don’t worry. While she is accomplished in her own right, the fact that she is the daughter of President JFK may carry more weight. Especially because Obama’s camp loves to compare him to JFK. This really can’t hurt his campaign, despite the controversy that has dogged Teddy Kennedy in the past.

Not to be outdone, the rest of the Kennedy clan has sprung into action. Three of RFK’s kids have come out to back Clinton. They seem to focus on the very things their father ran against, the idea of trusting the establishment versus trusting an untested idealist. And they use very un-Kennedyesque language:

The loftiest poetry will not solve these issues. We need a president willing to engage in a fistfight to safeguard and restore our national virtues.

So what could force a dynasty like the Kennedy’s to split so evenly? On one side we have the daughter of a former President, and on the other we have the children of a Former-almost-President. Well there are some pretty pessimistic theories floating around. Instead of the regular talk of people being motivated by the need to participate in public discourse, we have accusations of selfish motives. People say that Teddy endorsed Obama because Clinton had given LBJ credit for fathering the civil rights movement, instead of crediting JFK . Apparently, this is also a reaction for the negative tone the primary took in South Carolina. Political rockstar Bill Clinton, whose obligatory endorsement for his wife has given her a pretty big boost, may have done some harm by taking the offensive and going after Obama. So Kennedy pushed back, and punished the Clinton’s by endorsing their rival.

And RFK’s kids? Surely they can’t be politically motivated! But yet, people are aiming to dismiss his support for Clinton as purely a political move. If she wins and becomes President, she’d have to resign her seat as a Senator. And who’s nicely placed to take over a seat that was once occupied by his father? RFK Jr. Personally, I think that sounds a bit far fetched, but in this day and age it’s quite hard to tell.

Oh but the story does not stop here. Even the Republicans aren’t safe from the Kennedy touch. Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, who is extremely influential in California, happens to be married to a Kennedy-member, Maria Shriver. And his recent choice to endorse John McCain could be the last little bit necessary to get McCain to triumph over Romney. If McCain wins California, which is likely with the Governator on board, that is a huge step on the way to the presidential race.

And Edwards? Or Giuliani?

The former competition plays a really unique role in this election as well. On both sides, the race is pretty close. We have a Romney-McCain showdown, and an Obama-Clinton duel. So, the third/fourth/fifth/nth candidates who drop out of the race, their support may just make the difference. I’d say even more so on the Democrat side. Edwards has polled pretty well, and his stance as a defender of the poor and of labour may resound with the Democrats. So whoever way he chooses may well secure the nomination. It’s a tricky thing, because Edwards is a really strong candidate for a running mate, and he probably doesn’t want to risk alienating either of his potential tickets to the White House. Obama clearly wants the endorsement, and hasn’t really been shy about saying so.

Giuliani’s endorsement of McCain may not really have that big of an influence, but even if it helps McCain secure the delegates from New York, it can’t hurt.  Still, his poor showings so far seem to suggest he may not be that much of a help, after all.

So do endorsements matter?

The answer, in short, is yes.  Endorsements matter a heck of a lot in the 2008 Presidential Election.  I don’t really think people care what Hulk Hogan has to say, and thankfully everyone has ignored Roseanne Barr’s foray into politics, but we shouldn’t discount everyone else just yet.  The Kennedy primary should be closely watched, because it’s as likely as not that the Democrats may have to spend more time campaigning there then they would in some of the smaller states.

And keep your eye on Edwards.  Out of anyone here, I think he holds the fate of the election in his hands (or rather, in his delegates).

-A